CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-07-16T17:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-07-16T17:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/26023/-1
CME Note: Wide event with bulk seen to the southwest with distinguishable wider and fainter shock front extending to the south-southeast and widening even further with time to the southeast. Associated with a long-duration M4.0-class flare from AR 3363 near S25W60 and simultaneous eruption. Eruption with opening magnetic field lines are seen best in GOES-18 195/171. SOHO LASCO C3 data gap at this time. There is no clear arrival across all solar wind parameters.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-07-19T01:18Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 84.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.66667 - 5.66667
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -12931.63 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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